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Evidence-based policy making

World of Labour is an online platform that provides policy analysts, journalists, academics, and society generally with relevant and concise information on labour market issues. Based on the latest research, it provides current thinking on labour markets worldwide in a clear and accessible style. World of Labour aims to support evidence-based policy making and increase awareness of labour market issues, including current concerns like the impact of technological progress, and longer-term problems like inequality.

 

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The consequences of trade union power erosion Updated

Declining union power would not be an overwhelming cause for concern if not for rising wage inequality and the loss of worker voice

The micro- and macroeconomic effects of the declining power of trade unions have been hotly debated by economists and policymakers, although the empirical evidence does little to suggest that the impact of union decline on economic aggregates and firm performance is an overwhelming cause for concern. That said, the association of declining union power with rising earnings inequality and the loss of an important source of dialogue between workers and their firms have proven more worrisome if no less contentious. Causality issues dog the former association and while the diminution in representative voice seems indisputable any depiction of the non-union workplace as an authoritarian “bleak house” is more caricature than reality.

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  • The brain drain from developing countries Updated

    Brain drain need not be a curse—it can be a catalyst: under the right conditions, selective emigration promotes skills acquisition and economic development in the country of origin.

    Brain drain refers to the selective emigration of highly educated people, who often have stronger incentives to migrate and face fewer barriers. At first glance, this seems to be an adverse situation: losing doctors, engineers or teachers could hinder development. However, migration can also be beneficial by spurring investment in skills, fueling remittances, fostering innovation, business links, and transfers of knowledge and norms. The net impact depends on the skills involved and the context, creating an opportunity for policies that transform emigration into a driver of development.
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  • The labour market in Portugal, 2000-2024

    Portugal’s labour market has become more flexible but still struggles with deep-rooted issues of precariousness and low wages

    Anabela Carneiro , April 2026
    The Portuguese labour market has stabilised after the 2010–2013 sovereign debt crisis, which pushed unemployment to a historic 18.5%. By 2025, the rate of unemployment has exhibited low-record levels reaching 5.9%. Long-term unemployment has declined, and the female employment rate reached historical values. Yet, several structural imbalances persist. Productivity levels remain low compared to European peers, and wages continue to struggle to keep pace with the cost of living.
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  • Minimum wage policy and undeclared wages in transition economies

    Increasing minimum wage can decrease labour tax evasion

    Nicolas Gavoille , March 2026

    How do minimum wage policies interact with labour tax evasion? In many transition economies, two features stand out: a large spike in the wage distribution at the minimum wage and widespread use of “envelope wages”—undeclared cash paid in addition to official earnings. This spike can be explained by the over-representation of tax-evading employers among minimum wage payers. In such a context, raising the minimum wage may serve as an enforcement tool by compelling evading firms to convert part of the undeclared pay into formal wages in order to comply with the legal minimum.

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  • The labor market in Mexico, 2005–2025

    Mexico faces challenges in creating more high-paying jobs

    While Mexico has improved the education of its labor force, maintained a stable macroeconomic environment, and been friendly to international trade, its labor market still faces many challenges. In particular, Mexico has difficulty creating high-paying jobs: the share of informal employment has remained stagnant for the last 20 years, and, by 2025, remains above 50%. These problems are particularly poignant in southern Mexico.
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  • Leveraging covariates in regression discontinuity designs

    Proper use of covariates in regression discontinuity designs can enhance empirical scientific discoveries and evidence-based policy decisions

    It is common practice to incorporate additional covariates in empirical economics. In the context of regression discontinuity (RD) designs, covariate adjustment plays multiple roles, making it essential to understand its impact on analysis and conclusions. Typically implemented via local least squares regressions, covariate adjustment can serve three main distinct purposes: (i) improving the efficiency of RD average causal effect estimators, (ii) learning about heterogeneous RD policy effects, and (iii) changing the RD parameter of interest.
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  • The labor market in the Netherlands, 2001–2024 Updated

    The observations point to a marked underlying shift in bargaining power from unions to employers

    The Netherlands has long been an example of a highly and centrally institutionalized labor market paying considerable attention to equity concerns. Fracturing of the labor force by the rapid demise of the single-earner model and accelerating immigration, falling union density, and reductions in welfare state provisions have shrunk labor’s market power centrally and decentrally. Wages lagged far behind productivity growth, job security strongly declined and wage inequality increased. This comes to the fore with a lack of offensive union power when after 2016 labor demand accelerated and the economy and employment quickly reached new heights after the pandemic crisis.
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  • The labor market in India since the 1990s Updated

    Despite higher output per worker and moderate unemployment, wages and job quality have not improved proportionately

    The Indian economy entered an ongoing process of trade liberalization, domestic deregulation, and privatization of public sector units in 1991. Since then, per capita output has increased significantly, while the overall unemployment rate has remained moderate. However, labor force participation rates fell sharply, though recovering for women since 2020. Youth unemployment remains high, an overwhelming proportion of the labor force continues to work in the informal sector, labor movement out of agriculture is slow, and there is little evidence of a sustained rise in wages for either unskilled rural or factory workers.
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  • The labor market in Turkey, 2000-2024

    Turkey needs to significantly invest in public care to complement educational compositional change for employment growth

    Hasan Tekguc , September 2025
    In the first two decades of the 2000s, Turkey has relied on structural change from traditional to modern sectors on the one hand and educational compositional change on the other hand to create formal employment in the modern sector. In 2000 the share of formally employed salaried employees in total employment was less than 40% for men and 30% for women. By 2021, this ration converged to 60% for men and women. Formal employment has increased for both men and women and the gender gap in formal employment declined substantially until 2020. However, relying on structural change and education to improve job quality has likely run its course. Since Covid-19, time-related underemployment has increased from virtually zero to 10% of the labor force and wages are stagnating if not declining.
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