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Evidence-based policy making
World of Labour is an online platform that provides policy analysts, journalists, academics, and society generally with relevant and concise information on labour market issues. Based on the latest research, it provides current thinking on labour markets worldwide in a clear and accessible style. World of Labour aims to support evidence-based policy making and increase awareness of labour market issues, including current concerns like the impact of technological progress, and longer-term problems like inequality.
The impact of monitoring and sanctioning on unemployment exit and job-finding rates Updated
Job search monitoring and benefit sanctions generally reduce unemployment duration and boost entry to employment in the short term
Unemployment benefits reduce incentives to search for a job. Policymakers have responded to this behavior by setting minimum job search requirements, by monitoring to check that unemployment benefit recipients are engaged in the appropriate level of job search activity, and by imposing sanctions for infractions. Empirical studies consistently show that job search monitoring and benefit sanctions reduce unemployment duration and increase job entry in the short term. However, there is some evidence that longer-term effects of benefit sanctions may be negative.
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The labour market in Portugal, 2000-2024
Portugal’s labour market has become more flexible but still struggles with deep-rooted issues of precariousness and low wages
Anabela Carneiro , April 2026The Portuguese labour market has stabilised after the 2010–2013 sovereign debt crisis, which pushed unemployment to a historic 18.5%. By 2025, the rate of unemployment has exhibited low-record levels reaching 5.9%. Long-term unemployment has declined, and the female employment rate reached historical values. Yet, several structural imbalances persist. Productivity levels remain low compared to European peers, and wages continue to struggle to keep pace with the cost of living.Read moreRead less -
Minimum wage policy and undeclared wages in transition economies
Increasing minimum wage can decrease labour tax evasion
Nicolas Gavoille , March 2026Read moreRead lessHow do minimum wage policies interact with labour tax evasion? In many transition economies, two features stand out: a large spike in the wage distribution at the minimum wage and widespread use of “envelope wages”—undeclared cash paid in addition to official earnings. This spike can be explained by the over-representation of tax-evading employers among minimum wage payers. In such a context, raising the minimum wage may serve as an enforcement tool by compelling evading firms to convert part of the undeclared pay into formal wages in order to comply with the legal minimum.
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The labor market in Mexico, 2005–2025
Mexico faces challenges in creating more high-paying jobs
While Mexico has improved the education of its labor force, maintained a stable macroeconomic environment, and been friendly to international trade, its labor market still faces many challenges. In particular, Mexico has difficulty creating high-paying jobs: the share of informal employment has remained stagnant for the last 20 years, and, by 2025, remains above 50%. These problems are particularly poignant in southern Mexico.Read moreRead less -
Leveraging covariates in regression discontinuity designs
Proper use of covariates in regression discontinuity designs can enhance empirical scientific discoveries and evidence-based policy decisions
Matias D. CattaneoFilippo Palomba , November 2025It is common practice to incorporate additional covariates in empirical economics. In the context of regression discontinuity (RD) designs, covariate adjustment plays multiple roles, making it essential to understand its impact on analysis and conclusions. Typically implemented via local least squares regressions, covariate adjustment can serve three main distinct purposes: (i) improving the efficiency of RD average causal effect estimators, (ii) learning about heterogeneous RD policy effects, and (iii) changing the RD parameter of interest.Read moreRead less -
The labor market in the Netherlands, 2001–2024 Updated
The observations point to a marked underlying shift in bargaining power from unions to employers
Wiemer SalverdaJoop Hartog , October 2025The Netherlands has long been an example of a highly and centrally institutionalized labor market paying considerable attention to equity concerns. Fracturing of the labor force by the rapid demise of the single-earner model and accelerating immigration, falling union density, and reductions in welfare state provisions have shrunk labor’s market power centrally and decentrally. Wages lagged far behind productivity growth, job security strongly declined and wage inequality increased. This comes to the fore with a lack of offensive union power when after 2016 labor demand accelerated and the economy and employment quickly reached new heights after the pandemic crisis.Read moreRead less -
The labor market in India since the 1990s Updated
Despite higher output per worker and moderate unemployment, wages and job quality have not improved proportionately
Indraneel DasguptaSaibal Kar , October 2025The Indian economy entered an ongoing process of trade liberalization, domestic deregulation, and privatization of public sector units in 1991. Since then, per capita output has increased significantly, while the overall unemployment rate has remained moderate. However, labor force participation rates fell sharply, though recovering for women since 2020. Youth unemployment remains high, an overwhelming proportion of the labor force continues to work in the informal sector, labor movement out of agriculture is slow, and there is little evidence of a sustained rise in wages for either unskilled rural or factory workers.Read moreRead less -
The labor market in Turkey, 2000-2024
Turkey needs to significantly invest in public care to complement educational compositional change for employment growth
Hasan Tekguc , September 2025In the first two decades of the 2000s, Turkey has relied on structural change from traditional to modern sectors on the one hand and educational compositional change on the other hand to create formal employment in the modern sector. In 2000 the share of formally employed salaried employees in total employment was less than 40% for men and 30% for women. By 2021, this ration converged to 60% for men and women. Formal employment has increased for both men and women and the gender gap in formal employment declined substantially until 2020. However, relying on structural change and education to improve job quality has likely run its course. Since Covid-19, time-related underemployment has increased from virtually zero to 10% of the labor force and wages are stagnating if not declining.Read moreRead less -
The Chinese labor market, 2000–2024 Updated
The world’s second largest economy has boomed, but a rapidly aging labor force presents substantial challenges
Junsen ZhangJia Wu , August 2025China experienced significant economic progress over the past few decades, with an annual average GDP growth of approximately 8.6%. Population expansion has certainly been a contributing factor, but that is now changing as China rapidly ages. Rural migrants are set to play a key role in compensating for future labor shortages. However, they still face significant barriers to live in cities permanently, resulting in surging waves of return migration in recent years. Additionally, China faces a low fertility rate of 1.01 births per woman, although the population control policy has been relaxed. Millions of people are employed in the food delivery and courier industry, yet with little social benefit and insurance, which poses potential challenges for China’s labor market stability.Read moreRead less -
The labor market in Italy, 2000–2024 Updated
Italy's labor market has stabilized since the crises of the 2000s, but persistent challenges remain, amid stagnant productivity and structural imbalances
Francesca Marino , August 2025In 2024, Italy's labor market has reached record-high levels of employment and permanent contracts, marking a significant recovery from past downturns. Yet, persistent challenges remain. Youth unemployment and labor market duality remain high, and wages and productivity have stagnated for over two decades. Although several major labor market reforms have aimed to increase flexibility and reduce segmentation, many of their effects remain contested. Female participation has risen and long-term unemployment has declined, yet regional disparities remain deep and persistent, with the south lagging behind. Self-employment is widespread but often low income and non-entrepreneurial, while undeclared work continues to weigh on labor standards and fiscal capacity. Targeted reforms are needed to improve labor market inclusion, reduce fragmentation, and support sustainable growth.Read moreRead less -
The labor market in Hungary, 2000-2025
Employment and wages are on a spectacular rise but growing inequalities, exclusion, and labor market segmentation call for new policy approaches
Bálint Menyhért , July 2025In the early 2000s, Hungary’s employment rate in the working-age population was below 60%. That is now a distant memory, as labor force participation is among the highest in the EU, unemployment is consistently low, and the purchasing power of wages keeps growing at a high rate. While undoubtedly a success story, it is also a cautionary tale of coerced activation, labor market segmentation, rising inequalities, declining social mobility, and strained employment relations.Read moreRead less -
Intersectionality and labor market outcomes
Putting the lens on the interaction of gender, race, and other social identities since this creates unique experiences of advantage and disadvantage
Olga Alonso-VillarCoral del Río Otero , July 2025Read moreRead lessThe privilege or disadvantage of individuals is not determined by a single social identity. The sexual division of labor affects women’s and men’s labor supply, the industries and occupations they enter, their earnings and progress. However, being a racial/ethnic or sexual minority (along with class and age) also influences job opportunities. Evidence shows that minority women’s experiences are unique and jointly determined by their gender and minority status, although the gender effect appears to precede that of minority.
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The merits of teacher assessment versus external exams to measure student achievement
Are teachers best placed to assess their students or are external exams more effective?
Oliver Cassagneau-FrancisGillian Wyness , June 2025There is little to no consensus in the academic literature over whether centralised, standardised exams are better for students than teacher assessments. While a growing body of evidence from economics highlights bias in teacher assessments, educationalists and psychologists point to the harm caused by high-stakes exam-related stress and argue that exams and teacher assessments generally agree very closely. This lack of academic consensus is reflected in policy: a wide variety of assessment methods are used across (and even within) countries. Policymakers should be aware of the potential for inequalities in non-blind assessments and consider carefully the consequences of relying on a single method of assessment.Read moreRead less -
Female labor force participation and development Updated
Improving outcomes for women takes more than raising labor force participation—good jobs are important too
Sher Verick , May 2025The relationship between female labor force participation and economic development is far more complex than often portrayed in both the academic literature and policy debates. Due to various economic and social factors, such as the pattern of growth, education attainment, and social norms, trends in female labor force participation do not conform consistently with the notion of a U-shaped relationship with gross domestic produc (GDP). Despite the initial impact, Covid-19 did not have a lasting negative effect, on average, on women’s participation. At the same time, some countries have made significant progress in increasing participation rates for women, including those who have started from a lower level.Read moreRead less -
Gender quotas on corporate boards of directors Updated
Gender quotas for women on boards of directors improve female share on boards, but firm performance effects are mixed, and spillover effects are positive but small.
Nina SmithEmma Von Essen , May 2025Read moreRead lessArguments for increasing gender diversity on corporate boards of directors by gender quotas range from ensuring equal opportunity to improving firm performance. The introduction of gender quotas in a number of countries, mainly in Europe, has increased female representation on boards. Current research does not unambiguously justify gender quotas on grounds of economic efficiency. In many countries, the number of women in top executive positions is limited, and it is not clear from the evidence that quotas lead to a larger pool of female top executives, who, in turn, are the main pipeline for boards of directors. Thus, other supplementary policies may be necessary if politicians want to increase the number of women in senior management positions.
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Machine learning for causal inference in economics
Discover how machine learning can help to uncover causal insights from economic data to guide better informed policy decisions.
Anthony Strittmatter , April 2025Machine learning (ML) improves economic policy analysis by addressing the complexity of modern data. It complements traditional econometric methods by handling numerous control variables, managing interactions and non-linearities flexibly, and uncovering nuanced differential causal effects. However, careful validation and awareness of limitations such as risk of bias, transparency issues, and data requirements are essential for informed policy recommendations.Read moreRead less -
Environmental regulations and business decisions Updated
Environmental regulations impose costs on firms, affecting productivity and location but providing significant health benefits
Wayne B. GrayRon Shadbegian , April 2025Environmental regulations raise production costs at regulated firms, though in most cases the costs are only a small fraction of a firm’s total costs. Productivity tends to fall, and firms may shift new investment and production to locations with less stringent regulation. However, environmental regulations have had enormous benefits in terms of lives saved and illnesses averted, especially through reductions in airborne particulates. The potential health gains may be even greater in developing countries, where pollution levels are high. The benefits to society from environmental regulation hence appear to be much larger than the costs of compliance.Read moreRead less -
Innovation and employment in the era of artificial intelligence Updated
In the face of AI revolution, concerns about possible technological unemployment should be aware of the complex and mixed employment impacts of technological change.
Marco VivarelliGuillermo Arenas Díaz , March 2025The relationship between technology and employment has always been a source of concern, at least since the first industrial revolution. However, while process innovation can be job-destroying (provided that its direct labor-saving effect is not compensated through market mechanisms), product innovation can imply the emergence of new firms, new sectors, and thus new jobs (provided that its welfare effect dominates the crowding out of old products). Nowadays, the topic is even more relevant because the world economy is undergoing a new technological revolution centred on automation and the diffusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI).Read moreRead less -
Hiring discrimination across vulnerable groups
Discrimination in hiring based on ethnicity or gender is widely debated but appears in fact less severe than discrimination based on disability, appearance, or age
Read moreRead lessOver the past decades, academics worldwide have conducted experiments with fictitious job applications to measure discrimination in hiring. This discrimination leads to underutilization of labor market potential and higher unemployment rates for individuals from vulnerable groups. Collectively, the insights from the published research suggest that three groups face more discrimination than ethnic minorities: people with disabilities, less physically attractive people, and older people. The discrimination found in Western economies generally persists across countries and is stable over time, although some variation exists.
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Artificial intelligence and labor market outcomes
AI has created new jobs to meet digital and automation needs, and those equipped with AI capital enjoy increased employment and wages.
Nick Drydakis , February 2025Artificial intelligence (AI) has streamlined processes, improved workforce allocation, and created new jobs to meet the needs of digitalization and automation. Individuals with AI capital experience greater employment opportunities and higher wages, particularly in high-skilled roles and large firms. Training in AI helps reduce gender-based digital disparities, empowers individuals, and enhances their employability. Policymakers should promote inclusive AI development policies to prevent widening AI-related divides and unemployment, and to ensure equitable opportunities.Read moreRead less -
Anonymous job applications and hiring discrimination Updated
Blind recruitment can level the playing field in access to jobs but cannot prevent all forms of discrimination
Ulf Rinne , January 2025The use of anonymous job applications (or blind recruitment) to combat hiring discrimination is gaining attention and interest. Results from field experiments and pilot projects in European countries (France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Sweden are considered here), Canada, and Australia shed light on their potential to reduce some of the discriminatory barriers to hiring for minority and other disadvantaged groups. But although this approach can achieve its primary aims, there are also important cautions to consider.Read moreRead less
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Apr 08, 2026
Portugal: From jobs recovery to high-productivity growth
The shift to a green and digital economy requires sustained investment in education, including vocational training and lifelong learning. -
Mar 25, 2026
Minimum wage policy as a hidden enforcement tool?
Raising pay floors can curb tax evasion but also creates trade-offs for jobs and compliant firms -
Feb 10, 2026
IZA@LISER Summer School 2026 in Luxemburg
PhD students are invited to apply by March 5 for this year's edition to be held in Luxembourg -
Dec 12, 2025
Early support, lasting impact: A new model for refugee integration in Europe
Italy’s FORWORK program boosts employment and inclusion for asylum seekers through early, personalized job support
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Gerard J. van den Berg, Arne Uhlendorff, Markus Wolf, Joachim Wolff
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Clémentine Van Effenterre , Manuela R. Collis
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Joan Costa-Font , Anna Nicinska
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Pierre Koning, Roger Prudon
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Mery Ferrando, Noemi Katzkowicz, Thomas Le Barbanchon, Diego Ubfal
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Yuri Barreto, Diogo Britto, Bladimir Carrillo, Daniel Da Mata, Lucas Emanuel, Breno Sampaio
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Hannah Klauber, Nicolas Koch, Nico Pestel
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Andrea Albanese, Olivier Deschenes, Christina Gathmann, Adrian Nieto Castro
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Giorgia Menta, Pietro Biroli, Divya Mehta, Conchita D'Ambrosio, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark
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Alexander Willén, Mikko Silliman
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N. Meltem Daysal, Hui Ding, Maya Rossin-Slater, Hannes Schwandt
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Elizabeth Brainerd, Olga Malkova
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Frédéric Docquier, Stefano Iandolo, Hillel Rapoport, Riccardo Turati, Gonzague Vannoorenberghe
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Lucia Mangiavacchi, Luca Piccoli, Giulia Gambardella
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David Carson Jinkins, Elira Kuka, Claudio Labanca
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Stepan Mikula, Tommaso G. Reggiani, Fabio Sabatini
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Bart K. de Koning, Didier Fouarge, Robert Dur
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Pascal Achard, Michèle Belot, Arnaud Chevalier
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Søren Albeck Nielsen, Michael Rosholm
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Paolo Agnolin, Massimo Anelli, Italo Colantone, Piero Stanig
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Petri Böckerman, Mika Haapanen, Christopher Jepsen
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Eric A. Hanushek, Simon Janssen, Jacob D. Light, Lisa K. Simon
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Matthias Doepke, Hanno Foerster, Anne Hannusch, Michèle Tertilt
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Heike Vethaak, Ernst-Jan de Bruijn, Marike Knoef, Pierre Koning
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Yonatan Berman, Tora Hovland
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Sulin Sardoschau, Annalí Casanueva-Artís
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Ciprian Domnisoru, Robert A. Miller
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Rita Ginja, Julie Riise, Barton Willage, Alexander Willén
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Stéphane Carcillo, Marie-Anne Valfort, Pedro Vergara Merino
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Yaya Diallo, Fabian Lange, Laetitia Renée
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Alicia De Quinto, Libertad González
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Manuel Bagues, Carmen Villa
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Nikos Askitas
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Frédéric Docquier, Chrysovalantis Vasilakis
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Anders Hjorth-Trolle , Rasmus Landersø
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Martin Popp
Show moreEffects of welfare sanctions in couple households
Workplace hostility shapes career choices and widens the gender pay gap
What today’s schools can learn from communist education
Sick or unemployed? The real reason behind spikes in sickness benefit claim
The power of working while studying: Lessons from Uruguay’s work-study program
Cisterns for life: Climate adaptation policies for water provision and rural lives
Heat waves are a widespread threat to the workforce
When the weather shapes retirement decisions
Measuring the hidden costs of disadvantage: Biological aging and opportunity
How competition fuels learning: Skills, wages, and productivity in modern labor markets
When sickness spreads at home: How childhood viruses shape lifelong outcomes
How religion shapes fertility responses to pronatalist policies
Populism and the skill-content of globalization
Orchestrating success: The power of universal music education
Beyond the target: How slashing refugee benefits impacts entire communities
Seeds of trust: How churches helped sustain civic life behind the “iron curtain”
When students guess wrong: Fixing misinformation in career planning
Why remote work should be part of the education debate
Believing in clients: A key to successful labor market reintegration
Robots, restructuring, and union retreat: How automation alters worker organization
Coming of age: The hidden health costs of legal age limits
Job loss is not always a disaster—but for some, it is
Protection for whom? The political economy of protective labor laws for women
Waiting for welfare: How processing times affect benefit receipt and employment
The human cost of austerity: How UK fiscal policies led to 190,000 excess deaths
When protests normalize intolerance: The hidden costs of far-right demonstrations
Planning for succession in family businesses
Can your doctor save you?
What 10,000 students taught us about combating LGBTphobia in schools
Paternity leave isn’t closing the gender pay gap
Family-friendly reforms: Do they support or stall mothers’ long-term careers?
Academic benefits of reducing teenage alcohol consumption
Enhancing economic insights with the IZA/Fable SWIPE Consumption Index
The vicious cycle of populism and migration: How far-right ideologies undermine human capital
The different sources of intergenerational income mobility in high and low income families
How market concentration impacts minimum wage effects