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Long-term unemployment did not rise under the
flexicurity model during the great recession, despite the large drop in
GDP
Before the great recession of 2008–2009, the
“flexicurity” model (with flexibility for firms to adjust their labor force
along with income security for workers through the social safety net)
attracted attention for its ability to deliver low unemployment. But how did
it fare during the recession, especially in Denmark, which has been
highlighted as having a well-functioning flexicurity model? Flexible hiring
and firing rules are expected to lead to large adjustments in employment in
a recession. Did the high rate of job turnover continue or did long-term
unemployment rise? And did the social safety net become overburdened?
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Unemployment increases crime among youth, while
active labor market policies can mitigate the problem
Active labor market programs continue to receive
high priority in wealthy countries despite the fact that the benefits appear
small relative to the costs. This apparent discrepancy suggests that the
programs may have a broader purpose than simply increasing employment—for
instance, preventing anti-social behavior such as crime. Indeed, recent
evidence shows that participation in active labor market programs reduces
crime among unemployed young men. The existence of such effects could
explain why it is the income-redistributing countries with greater income
equality that spend the most on active labor market programs.
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Promoting accurate bargainer expectations
regarding outcomes from binding dispute resolution is worth the effort
Alternative dispute resolution procedures such as
arbitration and mediation are the most common methods for resolving wage,
contract, and grievance disputes, but they lead to varying levels of success
and acceptability of the outcome depending on their design. Some innovative
procedures, not yet implemented in the real world, are predicted to improve
on existing procedures in some ways. Controlled tests of several procedures
show that the simple addition of a nonbinding stage prior to binding dispute
resolution can produce the best results in terms of cost (monetary and
“uncertainty” costs) and acceptability.
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Monetary policy should respond to the exchange
rate in countries where labor market institutions hinder wage adjustment
In the presence of rigid prices, movements in
the exchange rate help to absorb external shocks and to reduce changes in
net exports. However, they also affect firms’ competitiveness, marginal
costs, and labor demand. In countries where labor market institutions hinder
wage adjustment (for example due to high union density or more rigid
collective bargaining agreements), firms are less competitive: labor demand
is then more sensitive to external shocks, increasing the risk of
unemployment.
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More important than defining and measuring
informality is focusing on reducing its detrimental consequences
There are more informal workers than formal
workers across the globe, and yet there remains confusion as to what makes
workers or firms informal and how to measure the extent of it. Informal work
and informal economic activities imply large efficiency and welfare losses,
in terms of low productivity, low earnings, sub-standard working conditions,
and lack of social insurance coverage. Rather than quibbling over
definitions and measures of informality, it is crucial for policymakers to
address these correlates of informality in order to mitigate the negative
efficiency and welfare effects.
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Labor market regulation should aim to improve the
functioning of the labor market while protecting workers
Governments regulate employment to protect
workers and improve labor market efficiency. But, regulations, such as
minimum wages and job security rules, can be controversial. Thus, decisions
on setting employment regulations should be based on empirical evidence of
their likely impacts. Research suggests that most countries set regulations
in the appropriate range. But this is not always the case and it can be
costly when countries over- or underregulate their labor markets. In
developing countries, effective regulation also depends on enforcement and
education policies that will increase compliance.
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The evidence is mixed on whether and how
economic reforms benefit informal labor
The evidence is mixed on whether informal labor
in developing countries benefits from trade and labor market reforms.
Reforms lead to higher wages and improved employment conditions in the
informal sector in some cases, and to the opposite effect in others. At a
cross-country level, lifting trade protection boosts informal-sector
employment. The direction and size of the impacts on informal-sector
employment and wages are determined by capital mobility and the interactions
between trade and labor market reforms and public policies, such as
monitoring the formal sector. To guarantee best practice policymakers need
to take these interdependencies into account.
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Overtime penalties, payroll taxes, and other
labor policies alter costs and change employment and output
Higher labor costs (higher wage rates and
employee benefits) make workers better off, but they can reduce companies’
profits, the number of jobs, and the hours each person works. The minimum
wage, overtime pay, payroll taxes, and hiring subsidies are just a few of
the policies that affect labor costs. Policies that increase labor costs can
substantially affect both employment and hours, in individual companies as
well as in the overall economy.
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