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Jobs can change quickly from full- to part-time
status, especially during economic downturns
The share of workers employed part-time
increases substantially in economic downturns. How should this phenomenon be
interpreted? One hypothesis is that part-time jobs are more prevalent in
sectors that are less sensitive to the business cycle, so that recessionary
changes in the sectoral composition of employment explain the increase in
part-time employment. The evidence shows, however, that this hypothesis only
accounts for a small part of the story. Instead, the growth of part-time
work operates mainly through reductions in working hours in existing
jobs.
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EU supranational policies should be more active
at promoting institutional reforms that reduce unemployment
Unemployment in Europe is excessively high on
average, and is divergent across countries and population groups within
countries. On the one hand, over the past decades, national governments have
implemented incomplete institutional reforms to amend dysfunctional labor
markets. On the other hand, EU supranational policies—those that transcend
national boundaries and governments—have offered only limited financial
support for active labor market policies, instead of promoting structural
reforms aimed at improving the functioning of European labor markets. Better
coordination and a wider scope of EU supranational policies is needed to
fight unemployment more effectively.
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The China Shock has challenged economists’
benign view of how trade integration affects labor markets in developed
countries
Economists have long recognized that free trade
has the potential to raise countries’ living standards. But what applies to
a country as a whole need not apply to all its citizens. Workers displaced
by trade cannot change jobs costlessly, and by reshaping skill demands,
trade integration is likely to be permanently harmful to some workers and
permanently beneficial to others. The “China Shock”—denoting China’s rapid
market integration in the 1990s and its accession to the World Trade
Organization in 2001—has given new, unwelcome empirical relevance to these
theoretical insights.
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Reducing the size of the shadow economy requires reducing its
attractiveness while improving official institutions
The shadow (underground) economy plays a major role in many
countries. People evade taxes and regulations by working in the shadow economy or by employing
people illegally. On the one hand, this unregulated economic activity can result in reduced
tax revenue and public goods and services, lower tax morale and less tax compliance, higher
control costs, and lower economic growth rates. But on the other hand, the shadow economy can
be a powerful force for advancing institutional change and can boost the overall production of
goods and services in the economy. The shadow economy has implications that extend beyond the
economy to the political order.
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How effective are online methods of worker
recruitment and job search?
Since the internet’s earliest days, firms and
workers have used various online methods to advertise and find jobs. Until
recently there has been little evidence that any internet-based tool has had
a measurable effect on job search or recruitment outcomes. However, recent
studies, and the growing use of social networking as a business tool,
suggest workers and firms are at last developing ways to use the internet as
an effective matchmaking tool. In addition, job boards are also emerging as
important for the statistical study of labor markets, yielding useful data
for firms, workers, and policymakers.
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Occupational licensing may raise wages and
benefits for those licensed but also reduce access to work without clear
benefits to consumers
Since the end of World War II, occupational
licensing has been one of the fastest growing labor market institutions in
the developed world. The economics literature suggests that licensing can
influence wage determination, the speed at which workers find employment,
pension and health benefits, and prices. Moreover, there is little evidence
to show that licensing improves service quality, health, or safety in
developed nations. So, why is occupational licensing growing when there
are such well-established costs to the public?
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Minimum wages reduce entry-level jobs, training,
and lifetime income
Policymakers often propose a minimum wage as a
means of raising incomes and lifting workers out of poverty. However,
improvements in some young workers’ incomes as a result of a minimum wage
come at a cost to others. Minimum wages reduce employment opportunities for
youths and create unemployment. Workers miss out on on-the-job training
opportunities that would have been paid for by reduced wages upfront but
would have resulted in higher wages later. Youths who cannot find jobs must
be supported by their families or by the social welfare system. Delayed
entry into the labor market reduces the lifetime income stream of young
unskilled workers.
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Strictly controlling overtime hours and pay does
not boost employment—it could even lower it
Regulation of standard workweek hours and
overtime hours and pay can protect workers who might otherwise be required
to work more than they would like to at the going rate. By discouraging the
use of overtime, such regulation can increase the standard hourly wage of
some workers and encourage work sharing that increases employment, with
particular advantages for female workers. However, regulation of overtime
raises employment costs, setting in motion economic forces that can limit,
neutralize, or even reduce employment. And increasing the coverage of
overtime pay regulations has little effect on the share of workers who work
overtime or on weekly overtime hours per worker.
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