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Trade policy is not an employment policy and
should not be expected to have major effects on overall employment
Trade regulation can create jobs in the sectors
it protects or promotes, but almost always at the expense of destroying a
roughly equivalent number of jobs elsewhere in the economy. At a
product-specific or micro level and in the short term, controlling trade
could reduce the offending imports and save jobs, but for the economy as a
whole and in the long term, this has neither theoretical support nor
evidence in its favor. Given that protection may have other—usually
adverse—effects, understanding the difficulties in using it to manage
employment is important for economic policy.
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Sectoral collective contracts reduce
inequality but may lead to job losses among workers with earnings close to
the wage floors
In many countries, the wage floors and
working conditions set in collective contracts negotiated by a subset of
employers and unions are subsequently extended to all employees in an
industry. Those extensions ensure common working conditions within the
industry, mitigate wage inequality, and reduce gender wage gaps. However,
little is known about the so-called bite of collective contracts and whether
they limit wage adjustments for all workers. Evidence suggests that
collective contract benefits come at the cost of reduced employment levels,
though typically only for workers earning close to the wage floors.
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Unemployment increases crime among youth, while
active labor market policies can mitigate the problem
Active labor market programs continue to receive
high priority in wealthy countries despite the fact that the benefits appear
small relative to the costs. This apparent discrepancy suggests that the
programs may have a broader purpose than simply increasing employment—for
instance, preventing anti-social behavior such as crime. Indeed, recent
evidence shows that participation in active labor market programs reduces
crime among unemployed young men. The existence of such effects could
explain why it is the income-redistributing countries with greater income
equality that spend the most on active labor market programs.
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Gender quotas for women on boards of directors
improve female share on boards but firm performance effects are mixed
Arguments for increasing gender diversity on
boards of directors by gender quotas range from ensuring equal opportunity
to improving firm performance. The introduction of gender quotas in a number
of countries has increased female representation on boards. Current research
does not justify gender quotas on grounds of economic efficiency. In many
countries the number of women in top executive positions is limited, and it
is not clear from the evidence that quotas lead to a larger pool of female
top executives, who are the main pipeline for boards of directors. Thus,
other supplementary policies may be necessary if politicians want to
increase the number of women in senior management positions.
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Are low-paid jobs stepping stones to higher-paid
jobs, do they become persistent, or do they lead to recurring
unemployment?
Low-wage employment has become an important
feature of the labor market and a controversial topic for debate in many
countries. How to interpret the prominence of low-paid jobs and whether they
are beneficial to workers or society is still an open question. The answer
depends on whether low-paid jobs are largely transitory and serve as
stepping stones to higher-paid employment, whether they become persistent,
or whether they result in repeated unemployment. The empirical evidence is
mixed, pointing to both stepping-stone effects and “scarring” effects (i.e.
long-lasting detrimental effects) of low-paid work.
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Reducing entry barriers and increasing
competition can be beneficial for the economy, under certain conditions
Most OECD countries have recently introduced
product market reforms with the objective of lowering barriers to entry and
increasing competition in many sectors, such as telecommunications,
utilities, and transport. The timing and extent of regulatory reform have
varied significantly, starting in the US in the early 1980s and in the
mid-1990s in many European countries. Will these developments improve
economic performance in terms of creating jobs, fostering investment, and
encouraging innovations—all of which are important factors for
policymakers?
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Extending work hours may reduce employment in
the short term but may increase it in the long term if hourly pay remains
constant
Standard hours, a major component of total work
hours, vary considerably across Europe. Many countries lowered their
standard work hours during the 1980s and 1990s, attempting to boost
employment by splitting up a fixed number of worker-hours among more
workers. Germany has seen a partial reversal of the trend as several
companies increased their standard hours to reduce their labor costs in the
early 2000s. The employment effect of increased standard hours depends on
the time horizon examined, how wages respond, whether employees collected
overtime pay before the change, and the productivity of hours worked, among
other factors.
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Policymakers need to find the right balance
between protecting workers and promoting efficient resource allocation and
productivity growth
Laws on hiring and firing are intended to protect
workers from unfair behavior by employers, to counter imperfections in
financial markets that limit workers’ ability to insure themselves against
job loss, and to preserve firm-specific human capital. But by imposing costs
on firms’ adaptation to changes in demand and technology, employment
protection legislation may reduce not only job destruction but also job
creation, hindering the efficient allocation of labor and productivity
growth.
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Strictly controlling overtime hours and pay does
not boost employment—it could even lower it
Regulation of standard workweek hours and
overtime hours and pay can protect workers who might otherwise be required
to work more than they would like to at the going rate. By discouraging the
use of overtime, such regulation can increase the standard hourly wage of
some workers and encourage work sharing that increases employment, with
particular advantages for female workers. However, regulation of overtime
raises employment costs, setting in motion economic forces that can limit,
neutralize, or even reduce employment. And increasing the coverage of
overtime pay regulations has little effect on the share of workers who work
overtime or on weekly overtime hours per worker.
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Minimum wage increases fail to stimulate growth
and can have a negative impact on vulnerable workers during recessions
Proponents of minimum wage increases have argued
that such hikes can serve as an engine of economic growth and assist
low-skilled individuals during downturns in the business cycle. However, a
review of the literature provides little empirical support for these claims.
Minimum wage increases redistribute gross domestic product away from
lower-skilled industries and toward higher-skilled industries and are
largely ineffective in assisting the poor during both peaks and troughs in
the business cycle. Minimum wage-induced reductions in employment are found
to be larger during economic recessions.
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