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The world’s second largest economy has boomed,
but a rapidly aging labor force presents substantial challenges
China experienced significant economic progress
over the past few decades with an annual average GDP growth of approximately
10%. Population expansion has certainly been a contributing factor, but that
is now changing as China rapidly ages. Rural migrants are set to play a key
role in compensating for future labor shortages, but inequality is a major
issue. Evidence shows that rural migrants have low-paying and undesirable
jobs in urban labor markets, which points to inefficient labor allocation
and discrimination that may continue to impede rural–urban migration.
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Selling the right to immigrate to the highest
bidders would allocate visas efficiently but might raise ethical
concerns
Many immigrant destination countries face
considerable pressure to change their immigration policies. One of the most
innovative policies is auctioning the right to immigrate or to hire a
foreign worker to the highest bidders. Visa auctions would be more efficient
than current ways of allocating visas, could boost the economic contribution
of immigration to the destination country, and would increase government
revenues. However, visa auctions might weaken the importance of family ties
in the migration process and create concerns about fairness and
accessibility. No country has yet auctioned visas, although several have
considered doing so.
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Refugee status and country of origin shape the
economic outcomes of newcomer children later in life
The number of refugees has increased worldwide,
and about half of them are children and youth. These refugee children arrive
in resettlement countries with a unique set of challenges caused by, for
instance, extreme stress and trauma that call for specific policies to
address their needs. Yet, the long-term effect of refugee status on newcomer
children's economic trajectories varies by country of origin, signaling the
need for effective resettlement support and initiatives to tackle broader
systemic barriers for newcomer children, beyond refugees. Such findings
challenge the commonly held notion of refugees as a distinctive, relatively
homogeneous group with similar trajectories.
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It is vital to measure language proficiency
well, as it crucially determines immigrants’ earnings
Over recent decades, Western countries have
admitted many immigrants from non-traditional regions (e.g. Philippines,
India, China), which has coincided with poor economic integration. Language
proficiency is an important determinant of economic integration; in addition
to being a component of human capital, it plays a key role in facilitating
the transmission of other components of human capital. Examining the
strengths and weaknesses of objective and subjective measures of language
proficiency is crucial for good integration policy, as is understanding the
relationship between these measures and earnings, a key indicator of
economic integration.
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Retiree migration can have economic benefits but
can also lead to intergenerational conflict in education spending
With the aging of populations, particularly in
more developed countries, retirees are becoming a politically influential
group. Government budgets have been feeling the strain on social insurance,
health care, and other programs that benefit the elderly. Yet spending on
these programs has often come at the expense of other programs such as
education, which benefit primarily the younger population. Attracting
retirees has been viewed as an important avenue of economic development,
with positive impacts on revenue and expenditure. However, it can also have
a negative impact on education spending potentially resulting in
intergenerational fiscal conflict.
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A point system can select economically desirable
immigrants but it cannot prevent poor labor outcomes for immigrants
Restricting immigration to young and skilled
immigrants using a point system, as in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand,
succeeds in selecting economically desirable immigrants and provides
orderly management of population growth. But the point system cannot fix
short-term skilled labor shortages in a timely manner nor prevent poor labor
market outcomes for immigrants, since domestic employers can undervalue
schooling and work experience acquired abroad. Furthermore, the efficacy of
a point system can be compromised if unscreened visa categories receive
higher priority.
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Concepts of citizenship are not universally
defined and need rethinking
Citizenship laws are changing in many countries.
Although cross-national differences in the laws regulating access to
citizenship are today not as large as they were several decades ago, they
are still very apparent. Globally, there is convergence over some
citizenship policy dimensions, but there is not a general convergence over
“liberal” or “restrictive” approaches to citizenship policy. A growing body
of research has put forward various comparative measures of citizenship and
migrant integration policies. However, selecting the “right” index is a
challenging task, and the underlying dynamics of citizenship laws are not
easy to interpret as they differ across countries.
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Superdiversity can result in real economic
benefits—but it also raises concerns about social cohesion
Empirical studies have found that achieving
superdiversity—a substantial increase in the scale and scope of minority
ethnic and immigrant groups in a region—can provide certain economic
benefits, such as higher levels of worker productivity and innovation.
Superdiversity can also provide a boost to local demand for goods and
services. Other studies have found that these benefits can be compromised by
political and populist anxieties about ethnic, religious, and linguistic
diversity.
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