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Policies to reduce fertility in developing
countries generally boost education levels, but only slightly
At the national level, it has long been observed
that a country's average education level is negatively associated with its
total fertility rate. At the household level, it has also been well
documented that children's education is negatively associated with the
number of children in the family. Do these observations imply a causal
relationship between the number of children and the average education level
(the quantity–quality trade-off)? A clear answer to this question will help
both policymakers and researchers evaluate the total benefit of family
planning policies, both policies to lower fertility and policies to boost
it.
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Universal early education can be beneficial, and
more so for the poor, but quality matters
There is widespread interest in universal early
education, both to promote child development and to support maternal
employment. Positive long-term findings from small-scale early education
interventions for low-income children in the US have greatly influenced the
public discussion. However, such findings may be of limited value for
policymakers considering larger-scale, more widely accessible programs.
Instead, the best insight into the potential impacts of universal early
education comes from analysis of these programs themselves, operating at
scale. This growing research base suggests that universal early education
can benefit both children and families, but quality matters.
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Gender inequalities in daily time allocation may
have detrimental effects on earnings and well-being
Many countries experience gender differences, of
various magnitudes, in the time devoted to paid work (e.g. market work time)
and unpaid work (e.g. housework and childcare). Since household
responsibilities influence the participation of women, especially mothers,
in the labor market, the unequal sharing of unpaid work, with women bearing
the brunt of housework and childcare, is one of the main drivers of gender
inequality in the labor market. Understanding the factors behind these
gender inequalities is crucial for constructing policies aimed at promoting
gender equality and combating gender-based discrimination.
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Fertility and marriage rates are pro-cyclical in
many countries, but the longer-term consequences are inconclusive
Low fertility rates are a cause of social
concern in many developed countries, with growing youth unemployment often
being considered a primary cause. However, economic theory is not conclusive
about whether deterioration in youth employment prospects actually
discourages family formation or for how long the effect might persist. In
addition, recessions can affect the divorce rate. Therefore, understanding
the relationship between labor market conditions and family formation can
provide important insights into the type of policies that would be most
effective in promoting fertility.
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Boosting the efficiency of household production
could have large economic effects
The time household members in industrialized
countries spend on housework and shopping is substantial, amounting to about
half as much as is spent on paid employment. Women bear the brunt of this
burden, driven in part by the gender wage differential. Efforts to reduce
the gender wage gap and alter gendered norms of behavior should reduce the
gender bias in household production time and reduce inefficiency in home
production. Policymakers should also note the impact of tax policy on
housework time and its market substitutes, and consider ways to reduce the
distortions caused by sales and income taxes.
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The earned income tax credit boosts income and work effort among low-income parents, especially single mothers, and has contributed to the steep rise in employment among single mothers in the 1990s.
The earned income tax credit provides important benefits to low-income families with children. At substantial costs (over $70 billion to the US federal government), it increases the incomes of such families while encouraging parents to work more by subsidizing their incomes. But low-income adults without children and non-custodial parents receive very low payments under the program in most years. Many of these adults are less-educated men, whose labor force participation rates and relative wages have been declining for years. They might benefit significantly from a more generous earned income tax credit for childless adults.
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The evidence, though weak, favors legal, easy,
unilateral divorce
Many countries have enacted legislation over the
past few decades making divorce easier. Some countries have legalized
divorce where it had previously been banned, and many have eased the
conditions required for a divorce, such as allowing unilateral divorce (both
spouses do not have to agree on the divorce). Divorce laws can regulate the
grounds for divorce, division of property, child custody, and child support
or maintenance payments. Reforms can have a range of social effects beyond
increasing the divorce rate. They can influence female labor supply,
marriage and fertility rates, child well-being, household saving, and even
domestic violence and crime.
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The availability of common law marriage may
affect couple formation, labor supply, and the decision to have children
In addition to regular marriage, Australia,
Brazil, and 11 US states recognize common law (or de facto) marriage, which
allows one or both cohabiting partners to claim, under certain conditions,
that an informal union is a marriage. France and some other countries also
have several types of marriage and civil union contracts. The policy issue
is whether to abolish common law marriage, as it appears to discourage
couple formation and female labor supply. A single conceptual framework can
explain how outcomes are affected by the choice between regular and common
law marriage, and between various marriage and civil union contracts.
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The success of policies raising the retirement
age depends on people’s responsiveness to changes in pension eligibility
Rising life expectancy and the growing fiscal
insolvency of public pension systems have prompted many developed countries
to raise the pension entitlement age. The success of such policies depends
on the responsiveness of individuals to such changes. Retirement has
increasingly become a decision made jointly by a couple rather than
individually by one partner. The empirical evidence indicates that almost a
third of dual-earner couples in Europe and the US coordinate their
retirement decision despite age differences between partners. This joint
determination of retirement has important implications for policies intended
to reduce the burden of pension costs.
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Parental leave increases the family–work
balance, but prolonged leave may have negative impacts on mothers’
careers
Numerous studies have investigated whether the
provision and generosity of parental leave affects the employment and career
prospects of women. Parental leave systems typically provide either short
unpaid leave mandated by the firm, as in the US, or more generous and
universal leave mandated by the government, as in Canada and several
European countries. Key economic policy questions include whether, at the
macro level, female employment rates have increased due to parental leave
policies; and, at the micro level, whether the probability of returning to
work and career prospects have increased for mothers after childbirth.
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