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Why restricting labor mobility can be
counterproductive
In the popular immigration narrative, migrants leave
one country and establish themselves permanently in another, creating a “brain
drain” in the sending country. In reality, migration is typically temporary:
Workers migrate, find employment, and then return home or move on, often multiple
times. Sending countries benefit from remittances while workers are abroad and
from enhanced human capital when they return, while receiving countries fill labor
shortages. Policies impeding circular migration can be costly to both sending and
receiving countries.
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Outmigration has contributed to increasing wages
and decreasing unemployment in the new EU member states but may also cause
skills shortages
The recent EU enlargements into Central and
Eastern Europe and increased labor mobility within the Union provide a
unique opportunity to evaluate the labor market effects of emigration.
Outmigration has contributed to higher wages for stayers, as well as to
lower unemployment in the source country. However, emigration has also
exacerbated skills shortages in some sectors, as well as mismatches between
skills and jobs.
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Understanding how migration responds to tax
changes will aid in setting the progressivity of a tax system
Decreased transportation costs have led to the
transmission of ideas and values across national borders that has helped
reduce the barriers to international labor mobility. In this context,
high-skilled individuals are more likely to vote with their feet in response
to high income taxes. It is thus important to examine the magnitude of
tax-driven migration responses in developed countries as well as the
possible consequences of income tax competition between nation states. More
specifically, how does the potential threat of migration affect a country’s
optimal income tax policies?
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Concepts of citizenship are not universally
defined and need rethinking
Citizenship laws are changing in many countries.
Although cross-national differences in the laws regulating access to
citizenship are today not as large as they were several decades ago, they
are still very apparent. Globally, there is convergence over some
citizenship policy dimensions, but there is not a general convergence over
“liberal” or “restrictive” approaches to citizenship policy. A growing body
of research has put forward various comparative measures of citizenship and
migrant integration policies. However, selecting the “right” index is a
challenging task, and the underlying dynamics of citizenship laws are not
easy to interpret as they differ across countries.
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Corruption is a driving force of emigration,
especially for high-skilled workers, but also for other workers
Knowing whether corruption leads to higher
emigration rates—and among which groups—is important because most labor
emigration is from developing to developed countries. If corruption leads
highly-skilled and highly-educated workers to leave developing countries, it
can result in a shortage of skilled labor and slower economic growth. In
turn, this leads to higher unemployment, lowering the returns to human
capital and encouraging further emigration. Corruption also shifts public
spending from health and education to sectors with less transparency in
spending, disadvantaging lower-skilled workers and encouraging them to
emigrate.
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Consistent measures of migration are needed to
understand patterns and impacts on labor market outcomes
International migration alters the
socio-economic conditions of the individuals and families migrating as well
as the host and sending countries. The data to study and to track these
movements, however, are largely inadequate or missing. Understanding the
reasons for these data limitations and recently developed methods for
overcoming them is crucial for implementing effective policies. Improving
the available information on global migration patterns will result in
numerous and wide-ranging benefits, including improved population
estimations and providing a clearer picture of why certain migrants choose
certain destinations.
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Availability of bilateral data on migratory flows has
renewed interest in using gravity models to identify migration determinants
Gravity models have long been popular for analyzing
economic phenomena related to the movement of goods and services, capital, or even
people; however, data limitations regarding migration flows have hindered their use in
this context. With access to improved bilateral (country to country) data, researchers
can now use gravity models to better assess the impacts of migration policy, for
instance, the effects of visa restriction policies on migration flows. The
specification, estimation, and interpretation of gravity models are illustrated in
different contexts and limitations of current practices are described to enable
policymakers to make better informed decisions.
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International migration boosts travel and vice
versa, bringing economic benefits but challenging public policy
The ongoing relationships between emigrants and
their families, friends, and business contacts in their home countries can
increase outbound and inbound cross-border travel, while cross-border
tourism and business and study trips can trigger migration. New
communication technologies, such as social media and video chat, only
partially substitute for face-to-face meetings. In fact, the greater use of
such technologies boosts demand for in-person meetings. Short- and long-term
cross-border movements are becoming more complex, creating challenges for
measuring immigration and for defining target populations for legislation
and public policy.
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While legalization benefits most unauthorized
immigrants, deciding how to regularize them is challenging
Countries have adopted a variety of legalization
programs to address unauthorized immigration. Research in the US finds
improved labor market outcomes for newly authorized immigrants. Findings are
more mixed for European and Latin American countries where informal labor
markets play a large role and programs are often small scale. Despite
unclear labor market outcomes and mixed public support, legalization will
likely continue to be widely used. Comprehensive legislation can address the
complex nature of legalization on immigrants and on native-born
residents.
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